ABFER 11th ANNUAL CONFERENCE
The ABFER 11th Annual Conference will be held on 20-23 May 2024 at the Pan Pacific Singapore
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11th ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM
The 11th Asian Monetary Policy Forum (AMPF) will commence on 23 May 2024 at the Pan Pacific Singapore with a joint dinner with ABFER, followed by the forum on 24 May 2024 at Conrad Centennial Singapore
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CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT: CHINA AND ASIA
Webinar series on every third Thursday of the month
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INNOVATION, PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH, AND CHALLENGES IN THE DIGITAL ERA: ASIA AND BEYOND
Webinar series on every first Wednesday of the month
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INDUSTRY OUTREACH PANEL
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  • ABFER 11th ANNUAL CONFERENCE
  • 11th ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM
  • CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT: CHINA AND ASIA
  • INNOVATION, PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH, AND CHALLENGES IN THE DIGITAL ERA: ASIA AND BEYOND
  • INDUSTRY OUTREACH PANEL

SOME IMPORTANT FACTS ABOUT US

2800 SUBMITTED Papers submitted to
Annual Conference
7366 AUTHORS Representing number
of authors
553 PRESENTED Papers presented at
Annual Conferences
186 JOURNALS Papers published in
significant journals
4200 PARTICIPANTS Participants at
Annual Conferences

Academic Luncheon Keynote by Professor Darrell Duffie

 

The Decline of Too Big to Fail
(Based on joint work with Antje Berndt and Yichao Zhu)

Crisis revelations of the costs of "too-big-to-fail'' have lead to new legal methods, globally, for resolving the insolvencies of systemically important banks. Rather than bailing out these firms with government capital injections, insolvency losses are now supposed to be allocated to wholesale creditors. Many commenters believe, however, that these reforms have not significantly reduced the likelihood of government bailouts of these firms. We estimate post-crisis declines in market-implied bailout probabilities for US globally-systemically important banks (G-SIBs), the associated increases in G-SIB bond yields, and the declines in G-SIB equity market values stemming from reductions in debt financing subsidies associated with bailout expectations. We show that G-SIB balance sheet data and the market prices of debt and equity imply a dramatic and persistent post-crisis reduction in market-implied probabilities of government bailouts of U.S. G-SIB holding companies.