ABFER 13th ANNUAL CONFERENCE
The call for papers is now open for the ABFER 13th Annual Conference. The conference will be held on 18-21 May 2026 in Singapore
FIND OUT MORE
12th ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM
The 12th AMPF commenced on 22 May 2025 with a joint dinner with ABFER, followed by the forum on 23 May 2025 at Conrad Singapore Orchard
FIND OUT MORE
CALL FOR POSTERS 2025
The Call for Posters is now closed. Selected papers will be informed by end of February. The poster sessions will be held on 20 and 21 May 2025 at the ABFER 12th Annual Conference.
Find out more
CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT: CHINA AND ASIA
Webinar series on every third Thursday of the month
FIND OUT MORE
INDUSTRY OUTREACH PANEL
FIND OUT MORE
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  • ABFER 13th ANNUAL CONFERENCE
  • 12th ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM
  • CALL FOR POSTERS 2025
  • CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT: CHINA AND ASIA
  • INDUSTRY OUTREACH PANEL

SOME IMPORTANT FACTS ABOUT US

4265 SUBMITTED Papers submitted to
Annual Conference
11415 AUTHORS Representing number
of authors
684 PRESENTED Papers presented at
Annual Conferences
218 JOURNALS Papers published in
significant journals
5200 PARTICIPANTS Participants at
Annual Conferences

Webinar Series

 

ebanner.jpg

The Economic Cost of Locking down like China: Evidence from City-to-City Truck Flows

Containing the COVID-19 pandemic by non-pharmacological interventions is costly. Using high-frequency, city-to-city truck flow data, this paper estimates the economic cost of lockdown in China, a stringent but effective policy. By comparing the truck flow change in the cities with and without lockdown, the authors find that a one-month full-scale lockdown causally reduces the truck flows connected to the locked down city in the month by 54%, implying a decline of city’s real income with the same proportion in a gravity model of city-to-city trade. The authors also structurally estimate the cost of lockdown in the gravity model, where the effects of lockdown can spill over to other cities through trade linkages. Imposing full-scale lockdown on four largest cities for one month would reduce the national real GDP by 8.6%, of which 11% is contributed by the spillover effects.

18
Aug
2022
Thursday

Session Chair: Jun PAN
Professor of Finance and SAIF Chair Professor, Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Senior Fellow, ABFER



Updated 24 Aug 2022

Speakers

Session Format

Each session lasts for 1 hour 10 minutes (25 minutes for the author, 25 minutes for the discussant and 20 minutes for participants' Q&A). Sessions will be recorded and posted on ABFER's web, except in cases where speakers or discussants request us not to.

Registration

Please register here to receive a unique Zoom link. (Notice: Videos and screenshots will be taken during each session for the purpose of marketing, publicity purposes in print, electronic and social media)