Annual Conference

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Investment Finance

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May 2018

Using point-in-time accounting data, we estimate monthly fair values of 25,000+ stocks from 36 countries. A trading strategy based on deviations from fair value earns significant risk-adjusted returns (“alpha”) in most regions, especially Asia-Pacific, that are unrelated to known anomalies. The ...
Keywords: International finance, valuation, Asset Pricing, market efficiency, Fundamental analysis, Point-in-time, Transaction costs, Principal components, Instrumented principal components analysis
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance

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May 2022

Decomposing inflation into core and non-core components (e.g., energy) sheds new light on the nature of inflation risk and risk premia. While stocks have insignificant exposures to headline inflation in the U.S., their core inflation betas are negative while energy betas are positive. Conventional i...
Keywords: Inflation Risks, Core inflation, Cross-section of asset returns
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance

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May 2019

Neoclassical theory suggests that stocks exposed to common pricing factors must face common production risks. We estimate firm-level productivity shocks and decompose them into six aggregate risk components via asymptotic principal component analysis. We find that fundamental risks drive 13 of 15 pr...
Keywords: productivity shocks, production-based asset pricing, pricing factors, empirical asset pricing models
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2021

This paper studies the economic impact of the emergence of FinTech platforms on financial intermediation. In China, platform distributions of mutual funds emerged in 2012 and grew quickly into a formidable presence. Utilizing the staggered fund entrance onto platforms, we find markedly increased flo...
Keywords: Mutual Funds, Platforms, FinTech, Flow-Performance Sensitivity
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance

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May 2019

Recent financialization in the commodity market makes it easier for institutional investors to trade a portfolio of commodities via various commodity index products. Using news-based sentiment measures, we find that such trading can propagate non-fundamental shocks from some commodities to others in...
Keywords: Financialization, Return autocorrelations, Index trading, News sentiment, Price Discovery
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