Annual Conference
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Investment Finance
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May 2025
Kyle Meets Friedman: Informed Trading When Anticipating Future Information
New!
We analyze a dynamic model of an investor who receives private information on an ongoing basis and faces a post-trading disclosure requirement. Characterizing the equilibrium of our trading game between two players—the investor and a market maker—can be reduced into a fictitious consumption-saving problem of one consumer with a borrowing constraint. Hence, insights from the consumption-saving literature, such as the permanent income hypothesis, can be adapted to shed light on the informed investor’s trading strategy and the equilibrium asset prices and market liquidity. Further analysis suggests that these results arise because the informed investor’s commitment value is zero.
Keywords:
Informed investor trading, Dissimulation, Mixed strategy, Information arrival