Annual Conference
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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows
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May 2021
Taming the Bias Zoo
The success of behavioral economics has led to a new challenge—many biases offering observationally similar predictions for a targeted financial anomaly. To tame this bias zoo, we combine subjective survey responses with observational data to propose a new approach, one that is robust to question-specific biases introduced through surveys. We illustrate this approach by administering a nationwide survey of Chinese retail investors to elicit their trading motives. In cross-sectional regressions of respondents’ actual turnover on survey-based trading motives, perceived information advantage and gambling preference dominate other motives, even though they are not the most prevalent biases simply based on survey responses.
Keywords:
excessive trading, survey, gambling preference, overconfidence