Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2021

We estimate a workhorse DSGE model with an occasionally binding borrowing constraint. First, we propose a new specification of the occasionally binding constraint, where the transition between the unconstrained and constrained states is a stochastic function of the leverage level and the constraint ...
Keywords: financial crises, Business Cycles, Endogenous Regime-Switching, Bayesian Estima- tion, Occasionally Binding Constraints, Mexico.
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2021

For most of the post WWII period, until recently, trade protectionism followed a downward trend, and was formulated in multilateral or bilateral agreements between countries. Recently however, there hasbeen a sharp shift towards unilateral, discretionary trade policy focused on short term macroecono...
Keywords: Protectionism, currency wars, Trade Wars
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2021

We study non-performing loan (NPL) resolution using proprietary data on NPL transactions in China. Rather than representing orderly NPL resolution, the transactions appear to reflect banks concealing non-performing assets from regulators as (i) transaction prices do not reflect underlying credit ris...
Keywords: Financial regulation, regulatory arbitrage, systemic risk, Financial Distress
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2021

This paper uses firm-level data to document and analyze international bond issuance by Chinese non-financial corporations and the use of the proceeds of issuance. We find that dollar issuance is positively correlated with the differential between domestic and foreign interest rates. This interest ra...
Keywords: China, bond issuance in emerging market countries, carry trade, shadow banking
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2021

The rise of digital currencies may result in domestic parallel currencies. Their exchange rate shocks will present a new challenge for monetary policy. We analyze these issues in a New Keynesian framework, where  rms can set prices in one of the available currencies. Price rigidity translates a on...
Keywords: private money, cryptocurrency, digital currency, currency choice, mon- etary policy
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