AMPF Papers

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Policy Note

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May 2022

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Sparse models, though long preferred and pursued by social scientists, can be ineffective or unstable relative to large models, for example, in economic predictions (Giannone et al., 2021). To achieve sparsity for economic interpretation while effectively exploiting big data for superior empirical p...
Keywords: Asset Pricing, Bayesian Estimation, Decision Tree, Factors, Heterogeneity, Panel Data, Sorting, Spar
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2015

Do stock markets act as a spare tire during banking crises, providing an alternative corporate financing channel and mitigating the economic severity of these crises? Using firm-level data in 36 countries from 1990 through 2011, we find that the adverse consequences of banking crises on equity issua...
Keywords: Shareholder protection laws, Corporate finance, financial crises, Firm profits, Firm investment choices
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Annual Conference

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Accounting

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May 2024

We study how socially responsible investors (SRIs) affect information incorporation in price. We find that a higher level of socially responsible institutional ownership results in a lower level of informativeness of current returns on future earnings. Using an exogenous shock to SRI ownership, we s...
Keywords: Socially responsible investors, ESG preference, Future earnings response coefficient (FERC), Future ESG response coefficient, information processing
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Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

We offer a new social approach to investment decision making and asset prices. Investors discuss their strategies and convert others to their strategies with a probabil-ity that increases in investment returns. The conversion rate is shown to be convex in realized returns. Unconditionally, active s...
Keywords: capital markets, behavioral finance, active investing, social networks, thought contagion, transmission bias
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