Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2013

This paper examines the impact of rising transaction tax on trade volume, price volatility and informativeness. We take advantage of a policy change in Singapore that effectively raised the transaction cost for real estate speculators in only one submarket. Based on a difference-indifferences analys...
Keywords: transaction tax, volatility, speculators, informed traders, noise traders
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Webinar Series

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Capital Market Development: China and Asia

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Aug 2021

We use administrative registration records with information on the owners of all Chinese firms to document the importance of “connected” investors, defined as state-owned firms or private owners with equity ties with state-owned firms, in the businesses of private owners. We document a hierarchy...
Keywords: joint venture, equity, investments, private owners, state-owned firms
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Annual Conference

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Economic Transformation of Asia

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May 2018

We document the spatial variations of firm-level frictions across cities in China and quantify their macroeconomic implications. Larger and centrally-located cities are less distorted in both the output and the factor market. The firm-level frictions lower the aggregate income by 10.5 percent in 200...
Keywords: Misallocation, regional trade, economic geography, welfare gain
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AMPF Papers

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Policy Note

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May 2022

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Sparse models, though long preferred and pursued by social scientists, can be ineffective or unstable relative to large models, for example, in economic predictions (Giannone et al., 2021). To achieve sparsity for economic interpretation while effectively exploiting big data for superior empirical p...
Keywords: Asset Pricing, Bayesian Estimation, Decision Tree, Factors, Heterogeneity, Panel Data, Sorting, Sparsity, Spike-and-Slab, Structural Breaks
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