Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Presidential Address: Social Transmission Bias in Economics and Finance

David HIRSHLEIFER
I discuss a new intellectual paradigm, social economics and finance: the study of the social processes that shape economic thinking and behavior. This emerging field recognizes that people observe and talk to each other. A key, underexploited building block of social economics and finance is socia...
Keywords: Social Transmission Bias, Social Economics, Social Finance, Behavioral Economics, Behavioral Finance, Social Networks, Social Learning, Information Percolation, Biased Percolation, Epidemiology, Visibility Bias, Self-Enhancin
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Webinar Series

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Innovation, Productivity and Challenges in the Digital Era: Asia and Beyond

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Mar 2023

Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work

Anton KORINEK, Megan JUELFS
We analyze how to set up institutions that future-proof our society for a scenario of ever-more-intelligent autonomous machines that substitute for human labor and drive down wages. We lay out three concerns arising from such a scenario, culminating in the economic redundancy of labor, and evaluate ...
Keywords: automation, substitutability of labor, redundancy of labor, nostalgic jobs, work amenities, social i
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2019

Premium for heightened uncertainty: Explaining pre-announcement market returns

Jun PAN, Haoxiang ZHU, Jiang WANG, Grace Xing HU
We find large overnight returns with no abnormal variance before nonfarm payrolls, ISM, and GDP announcements, similar to the pre-FOMC returns. To explain this common pattern, we propose a two-risk model with the uncertainty about the magnitude of the impending news' market impact as an additional r...
Keywords: Pre-Announcement Drift, Macroeconomic Announcements, FOMC, Heightened Uncertainty, VIX
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Annual Conference

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Corporate Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2013

Powerful Independent Directors

Randall MORCK, Kathy FOGEL, Liping MA
Shareholder valuations are economically and statistically positively correlated with independent director power, gauged by a composite of social network power centrality measures. Powerful independent directors’ sudden deaths reduce shareholder value significantly; other independent directors’ d...
Keywords: Corporate governance, Director independence, Milgram experiment, Power centrality, Behavioral finance
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Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Potential for Inward Foreign Direct Investment in Japan

Takeo HOSHI, Kozo KIYOTA
Promotion of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) into Japan has been an important policy in the Abenomics growth strategy.  This paper examines if we observe positive impacts of the policy in the data.  We first estimate a gravity model of bilateral FDIs using data for 35 OECD countries as dest...
Keywords: Inward foreign direct investment, Gravity model, Abenomics
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