Senior Fellows/Fellows

|

Senior Fellows/Fellows

|

Jun 2025

A war-related factor model derived from textual analysis of media news reports explains the cross section of expected stock returns. Using a semi-supervised topic model to extract discourse topics from 7,000,000 New York Times stories spanning 160 years, the war factor predicts the cross section of ...
  • View
  • Download
  • Bookmark
  •    |   

Senior Fellows/Fellows

|

Senior Fellows/Fellows

Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse addresse...
  • View
  • Download
  • Bookmark
  •    |   

Annual Conference

|

Corporate Finance

|

May 2025

We study the interplay between a “one person-one vote” political system and a “one share-one vote” corporate governance regime. If shareholders push firms for more pro-social policies, political backlash may arise, undoing ESG initiatives. In a frictionless economy, shareholder democracy bec...
Keywords: shareholder democracy, political democracy, public good, carbon tax, socially responsible investing, ESG, political backlash, wealth inequality, pass-through voting, universal owners
  • View
  • Download
  • Bookmark
  •    |   

Senior Fellows/Fellows

|

Senior Fellows/Fellows

We study how bias in the social transmission process affects contagion of consumption beliefs and behavior. In the model, consumption is more salient than non-consumption. This visibility bias causes people to perceive that others are consuming heavily and have favorable information about future wea...
Keywords: Consumption behavior, Overconsumption, Visibility bias
  • View
  • Download
  • Bookmark
  •    |   

Annual Conference

|

Tech, Digital Markets and AI

|

May 2025

Science-based R&D can deter venture capitalists due to high technical uncertainty. We study whether mission-oriented public funding—supplying basic science as a public good—fosters VC investment. Our quasi-natural experiment is the BRAIN Initiative (BI), a large-scale government program aime...
Keywords: Venture Capital, innovation, academic entrepreneurship, government policy, machine learning
  • View
  • Download
  • Bookmark
  •    |