Commentaries

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Senior Fellows/Fellows, 2020, Pandemic

International Trade Has Suffered a One-Two Punch. Can it Recover After COVID-19?

Davin CHOR
At the start of 2020, international trade was already under a protectionist cloud. Rising trade tensions between the US and the rest of the world, particularly China, had been in the economic headlines for three years, with US imports from China shrinking by a dramatic 17.7% between 2018–2019. Des...
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Annual Conference

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Corporate Finance

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May 2015

International Liquidity Shocks, the Real Economy, and Social Unrest: China, 1931-1935

Alberto MANCONI, Fabio BRAGGION, Haikun ZHU
What are the social consequences of liquidity shocks? We answer this question relying on a natural experiment from 1930s China, where the money supply contracted as a consequence of the 1933 US Silver Purchase program. Using a novel, hand-collected data set of loan contracts to individual Chinese fi...
Keywords: Silver Purchase program, bank liquidity, social unrest
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Annual Conference

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Economic Transformation of Asia

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May 2019

International Joint Ventures and Internal vs. External Technology Transfer: Evidence from China

Wolfgang KELLER, Kun JIANG, Larry D. QIU, William RIDLEY
This paper studies international joint ventures, where foreign direct investment is performed by a foreign and a domestic firm that together set up a new firm, the joint venture. Employing administrative data on all international joint ventures in China from 1998 to 2007—roughly a quarter of all i...
Keywords: International joint ventures, partner selection, technology spillovers, foreign direct investment, competition effects
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2021

International Equity and Debt Flows to Emerging Market Economies: Composition, Crises, and Controls

Shang-Jin WEI, Chang MA
Standard models of capital flows to emerging market economies focus on debt flows and a pecuniary externality. However, by offering better risk sharing, international equity flows can render such externality unimportant, yet many economies fail to attract equity investment in a large quantity. We pr...
Keywords: capital controls, Institutional Quality
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2019

International Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy

Davide FURCERI, Silvia ALBRIZIO, Sangyup CHOI, Chansik YOON
How does domestic monetary policy in systemic countries spillover to the rest of the world? This paper examines the transmission channel of domestic monetary policy in the cross-border context. We use exogenous shocks to monetary policy in systemically important economies, including the U.S., and lo...
Keywords: Monetary policy spillovers;International bank lending channel, Cross-border banking flows, Global financial cycles, Local projections
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