Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Trade sentiment and the stock market: New evidence based on big data textual analysis of Chinese media

Leonardo GAMBACORTA, Dora XIA, Chao HE, Marlene AMSTAD
Trade tensions between China and US have played an important role in swinging global stock markets but effects are difficult to quantify. We develop a novel trade sentiment index (TSI) based on textual analysis and machine learning applied on a big data pool that assesses the positive or negative to...
Keywords: Stock Returns, trade, sentiment, big data, neural network, machine learning
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Annual Conference

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Trade, Growth and Development

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May 2024

Trade and Technology Compatibility in General Equilibrium

Weili CHEN, Jingting FAN, Wenlan LUO
We develop a model of endogenous production networks in which the horizontal proximity between a firm’s technology and the technology of its suppliers affects the input cost. Firms choose their technology balancing the benefit of moving in the technological space toward suppliers with the cost of ...
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2017

Tracking Retail Investor Activity

Ekkehart BOEHMER, Xiaoyan ZHANG, Charles M. JONES
We provide an easy way to use recent, publicly available U.S. equity transactions data to identify retail purchases and sales. Based on retail order imbalances, we find that retail investors are informed at horizons up to 12 weeks. Individual stocks with net buying by retail investors outperform sto...
Keywords: retail investors, price improvement, return predictability
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Annual Conference

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Accounting, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2019

Top Management Team Power in China: Measurement and Validation

Bin KE, Xinshu MAO, Bin WANG, Zhuo LUO
We propose and validate a comprehensive measure of power for the top management teams (TMTs) of publicly listed Chinese firms. We show that our measure is positively associated with the four power dimensions developed by prior research for U.S. firms as well as three Asia-relevant power dimensions, ...
Keywords: power, top management team, executive compensation, nonmarket institutional force, China
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Annual Conference

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Real Estate and Urban Economics, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2022

Tobin Tax Policy, Housing Speculation, and Property Market Dynamics

Sumit AGARWAL, Kwong Wing CHAU, Maggie Rong HU, Wayne Xinwei WAN
Hong Kong introduced a Tobin property tax—the Special Stamp Duty (SSD) Policy—in 2010, which substantially increased the selling costs of short-term property holders. This study examines the effectiveness of this Tobin property tax in curbing speculation and cooling down the market. We find that...
Keywords: Tobin tax policy, stamp duty tax, property speculators, lock-in period, bunching effect
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