Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

We establish the validity of an augmented Balassa-Samuelson theory in a panel of real exchange rate levels between 18 OECD countries accounting for nearly two-thirds of the world GDP between 1970 and 2012 using a unique dataset of levels of total factor productivity (TFP) by sector. Real exchange ra...
Keywords: Real exchange rate, OECD countries, Structural determinants
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2015

We document a novel channel through which coordinated trading exerts externalities on financial markets. We study the impact of a financial advisory firm that recommends frequent reallocations between equity and bond funds to Chilean pension investors. The recommendations generate large and coordina...
Keywords: Coordinated Noise Trading, Pension Funds, Price Pressure
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2018

We investigate the consequences of overleveraging and the potential for destabilizing effects arising from financial- and real-sector interactions. In a theoretical framework, we model overleveraging and demonstrate how a highly leveraged banking system can lead to unstable dynamics and downward spi...
Keywords: Macro-Financial Linkages, Leverage, credit supply
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Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

We use the futures commission merchants (FCMs) reports released by CFTC to construct a frequent (monthly) and timely (one-month delay) market-level leverage measure, based on the aggregate margin of market participants. The derivative-market leverage negatively (positively) predicts returns of risky...
Keywords: Derivative-Market Leverage, Risk Premia, Return Predictability, Risk Aversion
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Annual Conference

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Accounting, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2019

Given the importance of transparency for the governance, efficiency, and stability of banks, we evaluate whether economic shocks that relax a bank’s dependence on external capital markets alter the cost-benefit calculations of bank managers concerning voluntary information disclosure. We measure i...
Keywords: Bank Transparency, Information Production, Deposit Supply
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