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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2018

When is foreign exchange intervention effective? Evidence from 33 countries

Lucio SARNO, Marcel FRATZSCHER, Oliver GLOEDE, Lukas MENKHOFF, Tobias STÖHR
This paper examines foreign exchange intervention based on novel daily data covering 33 countries from 1995 to 2011. We find that intervention is widely used and an effective policy tool, with a success rate in excess of 80 percent under some criteria. The policy works well in terms of smoothing the...
Keywords: Foreign exchange intervention, exchange rate regimes, effectiveness measures, Communication, capital controls
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2015

What Do Stock Markets Tell Us About Exchange Rates?

Gino CENEDESE, Giorgio VALENTE, Richard PAYNE, Lucio SARNO
The sign of the correlation between equity returns and exchange rate returns can be positive or negative in theory. Using data for a broad set of forty-two countries, we find that exchange rate movements are in fact unrelated to differentials in country-level equity returns. Consequently, a trading ...
Keywords: Empirical Asset Pricing, exchange rates, Uncovered Equity Parity, International Asset Allocation
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