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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2019

We explore an important role of monetary-fiscal policy interactions in explaining three stylized facts: (1) a positive correlation of stock and bond returns in 1971-2001 and a negative one after 2001, (2) a negative correlation of consumption and inflation in 1971-2001 and a positive one after 2001,...
Keywords: Stock-bond return correlation, consumption-inflation correlation, fiscal-monetary policy regime, bond risk premium, technology shock, investment shock
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2017

We propose a tractable and coherent framework that captures both conventional and unconventional monetary policies with the shadow fed funds rate. Empirically, we document the shadow rate’s resemblance to an overall financial conditions index, various private interest rates, the Fed’s balance sh...
Keywords: Shadow Rate, New Keynesian model, unconventional monetary policy, zero lower bound, QE, lending facilities
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