Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2016

Why Do Option Prices Predict Stock Returns? The Role of Price Pressure in the Stock Market

Luis GONCALVES-PINTO, Allaudeen HAMEED, Thijs VAN DER HEIJDEN, Yichao ZHU, Bruce GRUNDY
The distance between option-implied and traded stock prices (DOTS) predicts future stock returns. A trading strategy based on DOTS yields an alpha of 85 basis points on the day after portfolio formation. We show that DOTS is strongly related to return reversals, order imbalances, and transaction cos...
Keywords: Price Pressure, Put-Call Parity, return predictability, Informed Trading
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Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Why Do Option Prices Predict Stock Returns

Luis GONCALVES-PINTO, Allaudeen HAMEED, Thijs VAN DER HEIJDEN, Yichao ZHU
Disagreement between the stock and options markets about the stock’s value can reflect both informed trading in options and temporary price pressure in stocks. We document that the dis-agreement is strongly related to return reversals, order imbalances, and illiquidity in stocks, and weakly relat...
Keywords: Price Pressure, Put-Call Parity, return predictability, Informed Trading
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Commentaries

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2020, Pandemic

Why China Needs to Push for a Global Debt Standstill

Chang-Tai HSIEH
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Webinar Series

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Innovation, Productivity and Challenges in the Digital Era: Asia and Beyond

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Oct 2022

Why Are Small Businesses Slow to Adopt Profitable Opportunities?

Sean HIGGINS, Paul J. GERTLER, Ulrike MALMENDIER, Waldo OJEDA
Why are small businesses often slow to adopt new profitable opportunities, even in the absence of informational frictions, fixed costs, or misaligned incentives? We explore three potential mechanisms: present bias, memory, and trust in other firms. In partnership with a financial technology (FinTech...
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Annual Conference

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Corporate Finance

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May 2015

Who Captures The Power of The Pen?

Le ZHANG, Jiaxing YOU, Bohui ZHANG
We study how government control affects the roles of the media as an information intermediary and a corporate monitor. Comparing a large sample of news articles written by state-controlled and market-oriented Chinese media, we find that articles by the market-oriented media are more critical, more a...
Keywords: Media coverage, media concentration, political capture, CEO turnover
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