Annual Conference

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Household Finance

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May 2025

During the 2019–2024 monetary easing cycle, Chinese households used their savings to prepay unprecedented amounts of mortgage loans. Mortgage rates remained rigid due to banks’ market power and refinancing restrictions, while savings returns quickly adjusted to rate cuts. The widening gap betwee...
Keywords: mortgage prepayments, mortgage rate rigidity, monetary policy, household consumption
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Annual Conference

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Household Finance

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May 2025

This paper documents a source of financial inequality: banks offer significantly lower deposit interest rates and product variety to the poor. These poverty spreads in deposit markets are substantial - moving from the bottom to the top income decile increases deposit rates by 55% of the median rate ...
Keywords: poverty spreads, deposit products, inequality, participation
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Annual Conference

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Household Finance

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May 2025

Financial wealth inequality and long-term real interest rates track each other closely over the post-war period. We investigate how much of the increase in measured financial wealth inequality can be accounted for by the decline in rates, and study the implications for inequality in total wealth (li...
Keywords: wealth inequality, interest rates, secular stagnation, human wealth, duration
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Annual Conference

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Real Estate and Urban Economics

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May 2025

US housing markets have faced a secular shortage of housing supply in the past decade, contributing to a steady decline in housing affordability. Most supply-side explanations in the literature have tended to focus on the distortionary effect of local housing regulations. This paper provides novel e...
Keywords: Housing Supply, Construction, Home Price, Immigration, Mass Deportation
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Annual Conference

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Real Estate and Urban Economics

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May 2025

We study the effect of uneven nonbank mortgage expansion on localized housing market dynamics. Leveraging the local conforming loan-eligible share as an instrument for nonbank credit supply, we show that increased nonbank lending drives housing booms, characterized by rapid home price appreciation, ...
Keywords: nonbank, conforming loan limit, increased local housing credit, localized home price
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