Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2016

Fiscal Conditions and Long-term Interest Rates

Koji NAKAMURA, Tomoyuki YAGI
We conduct a quantitative analysis of the effects of fiscal conditions and other factors on nominal long-term interest rates based on panel data of 23 member states of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) for the period from 1980 to 2013. In addition to labor productivit...
Keywords: Long-term interest rate, Fiscal balance, Debt outstanding, Current account, National burden ratio, Fiscal reconstruction, monetary policy
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Annual Conference

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Accounting, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2016

The effect of anti-corruption campaign on shareholder value in a weak institutional environment: Evidence from China

Bin KE, Na LIU, Song TANG
We examine the impact of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign on shareholder value of publicly listed Chinese firms. We find that the anticorruption campaign reduces the profitability of the firms that sell luxury goods and services. The anti-corruption campaign helps reduce exc...
Keywords: China, anti-corruption regulation, SOE, firm performance, event study
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Annual Conference

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Accounting, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2016

Do Analysts and their Employers Value Access to Management? Evidence from Earnings Conference Call Participation

Vanitha RAGUNATHAN, Ling CEN, Jing CHEN, Sudipto DASGUPTA
The literature examining analyst activity assumes that access to management is valued by analysts and their employers. We propose a readily observable measure of access: how often an analyst is invited to be among the first to ask questions in the Q&A session of an earnings conference call. Thes...
Keywords: Career Outcomes, Analyst Forecasts and Recommendations, Earnings Conference Calls
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Annual Conference

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Accounting, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2016

Deleting Unreported Innovation

David REEB, Ping-Sheng KOH, Elvira SOJLI, Wing Wah THAM, Wendun WANG
The absence of observable innovation data for a firm often leads us to exclude or classify these firms as non-innovators. We assess the reliability of six methods for dealing with unreported innovation using several different counterfactuals for firms without reported R&D or patents. These tests...
Keywords: bias, Listwise Deletion, innovation, Measuring Innovation, Multiple Imputation, Non-patenting Firms, Unreported R&D, patents
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Annual Conference

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Accounting

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May 2016

Harnessing the Wisdom of Crowds

Zhi DA, Xing HUANG
When will a large group provide an accurate answer to a question involving quantity estimation? We empirically examine this question on a crowd-based corporate earnings forecast platform (Estimize.com). By tracking user activities, we monitor the amount of public information a user views before maki...
Keywords: Wisdom of Crowds, Herding, Naive Learning, Social Learning, Group Decision Making, Earnings Forecast
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