ABFER 13th ANNUAL CONFERENCE
The call for papers has closed. The conference will be held on 18-21 May 2026 in Singapore.
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CALL FOR POSTERS 2026
The Call for Posters has closed. Selected papers will be informed by end of February. The poster sessions will be held on 19 and 20 May 2026 at the ABFER 13th Annual Conference.
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12th ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM
The 12th AMPF commenced on 22 May 2025 with a joint dinner with ABFER, followed by the forum on 23 May 2025 at Conrad Singapore Orchard
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CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT: CHINA AND ASIA
Webinar series on every third Thursday of the month
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INDUSTRY OUTREACH PANEL
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  • ABFER 13th ANNUAL CONFERENCE
  • CALL FOR POSTERS 2026
  • 12th ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM
  • CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT: CHINA AND ASIA
  • INDUSTRY OUTREACH PANEL

SOME IMPORTANT FACTS ABOUT US

4265 SUBMITTED Papers submitted to
Annual Conference
11415 AUTHORS Representing number
of authors
684 PRESENTED Papers presented at
Annual Conferences
218 JOURNALS Papers published in
significant journals
5200 PARTICIPANTS Participants at
Annual Conferences

13th Annual Conference
Academic Luncheon Keynote by Professor Valerie Ramey

 

The Micro and Macro Effects of Government Household Transfers

Cash transfers to households have become a widely used tool of government policy both as a short-term stimulus during recessions and as ongoing income support to low-income households. This talk discusses the evidence on the aggregate effects of these types of programs. Recent work has found that the household marginal propensity to consume out of temporary transfers is typically lower than previously thought. Moreover, partial and general equilibrium forces, such as responses of relative prices and open economy considerations, further mute the aggregate stimulus effects of temporary transfers. Case studies of prominent transfers suggest very little macroeconomic stimulus. On the other hand, permanent or persistent cash transfers might generate a higher marginal propensity to consume if households are not Ricardian. A question with permanent transfers, though, is the effect on labor supply. Some recent papers have estimated sizeable negative marginal propensities to earn out of unearned income, i.e., households reduce their labor supply in response to rises in unearned income. If this channel is strong enough, persistent cash transfers can depress rather than stimulate the macroeconomy.

20
MAY 
2026
Wednesday
Venue: Royal Pavilion Ballroom, Level 1
Conrad Singapore Orchard, 1 Cuscaden Rd, Singapore 249715



Program is subjected to change. Updated on 13 Feb 2026.

Speakers

Session Format

30 minutes of keynote speech and 20 minutes for Q&A.