Webinar Series

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Capital Market Development: China and Asia

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Jan 2025

Leveraging the unprecedented capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) to assess sentiment across different topics within the same text, we extract the structured beliefs of all mutual fund managers in China based on their reports spanning 2008 to 2023, regarding the economy, government policies,...
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Webinar Series

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Capital Market Development: China and Asia

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Dec 2024

This paper connects share pledging with entrepreneurial activities in the context of China. Survey evidence shows that 33.0% of listed firms’ largest shareholders invested pledging funds in creating new firms. By linking firm registration data with pledging data, we show a positive relation betwee...
Keywords: Share pledging, Loans, Entrepreneurship, Listed firms, Economic growth
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Webinar Series

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Capital Market Development: China and Asia

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Nov 2024

We examine whether large language models (LLMs) can extract contextualized representation of Chinese public news articles to predict stock returns. Based on representativeness and influences, we consider seven LLMs: BERT, RoBERTa, FinBERT, Baichuan, ChatGLM, InternLM, and their ensemble model. We sh...
Keywords: return prediction, news articles, large language models, information efficiency, Chinese stock market
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Webinar Series

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Capital Market Development: China and Asia

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Sep 2024

This study finds that reducing political influence over local courts weakens local government debt capacity. We establish this result by exploiting the staggered roll-out of a judicial centralization reform aimed at alleviating local court capture in China and find reduced judicial favoritism toward...
Keywords: judicial centralization, court capture, lawsuit, public finance, information asymmetry, municipal corporate bond
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Webinar Series

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Capital Market Development: China and Asia

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Apr 2024

In China’s hybrid economy, the central government employs economic performance evaluations to guide career advancements of local officials. When local governments face stringent debt constraints, these career incentives can spur growth. However, when debt constraints are relaxed, such incentives m...
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