Repo market is an important source of wholesale funding for the financial institutions. Ever since Great Financial Crisis, repo haircut has been seen as a crucial barometer of the well-functioning of financial market. Theory predicts that repo haircuts increase with the collateral risk and counterparty risk. Using a proprietary transaction-level dataset from China’s interbank bilateral repo market, the authors empirically examine the determinants of repo haircut and test the theoretical predictions. It was found that haircut is increasing in both the default risk and the illiquidity risk of the collateral. The authors also find that haircut of the same collateral can differ across trading counterparties. Haircut on transaction between small banks which act as intermediaries in repo market are significantly lower than other transactions with the same collateral, implying that trading relationship may have an impact on haircut besides counterparty default risk. The authors exploit an unexpected event, the Baoshang Bank takeover, as a shock on the default risk of the intermediaries to explore the interplay of these factors during crisis episodes. The authors find that the takeover raised haircut for downstream institutions borrowing from intermediaries that are similar to Baoshang Bank. The increase in the counterparty risk further caused a cross-the-board increase in the haircut on low-quality collaterals, suggesting an information spillover effect. The authors further explore the dynamics of the haircuts during the COVID-19 outbreak. The authors find that the haircuts increased for illiquid- and pandemic-sensitive collaterals. The authors do not find evidence to support an increase in the counterparty risk during the pandemic.
Session Chair: Zhiguo HE
Fuji Bank and Heller Professor of Finance and Jeuck Faculty Fellow, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago and Senior Fellow, ABFER
Updated 5 August 2021
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